Candidate Casino: The House Lost

Special Report, hosted by Bret Baier, started running a table on who would be the GOP nominee more than a year ago. They call it “Candidate Casino.”

Today, on the day when Donald Trump secured the nomination with 1238 delegates and other states not even voting yet, I wondered who saw this coming.

Because we are told that these pundits are so superior in knowledge to us, the great flyover unwashed, I thought it would be instructive to see just how they placed their bets.

If you are ever tempted to listen to the “experts” on elections, take a look at these flashbacks.

This one is from April 20, 2015:

And here’s one from November 20:

Perceptionisrealityblogspot lists how these geniuses placed their bets.

1/8/2016

Krauthammer: $35 Cruz, $35 Trump, $15 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 Bush, $5 field
Goldberg: $40 Cruz, $30 Trump, $20 Rubio, $10 Christie
Walter: $35 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $15 Trump, $5 Christie, $20 field

12/18/2015:

Krauthammer: $40 Trump, $30 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $5 Christie
Hayes: $40 Cruz, $40 Rubio, $15 Trump, $5 Christie
Walter: $35 Cruz, $30 Rubio, $5 Trump, $5 Christie, $25 field

12/11/2015:

Krauthammer: $35 Trump, $30 Cruz, $25 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 field
Easton: $50 Trump, $20 Cruz, $20 Rubio, $10 Christie
Williams: $50 Trump, $20 Cruz, $15 Rubio, $15 Carson

11/20/2015:

Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Trump, $15 Cruz, $5 Bush, $5 Christie, $5 field
Lane: $30 Trump, $30 Rubio, $20 Cruz, $10 Bush, $5 Christie, $5 Carson
Easton: $30 Trump, $30 Rubio, $10 Cruz, $10 Bush, $10 Christie, $10 Carson

10/30/2015:

Hayes: $55 Rubio, $25 Cruz, $10 Christie, $5 Carson, $5 Trump
Goldberg: $45 Rubio, $45 Cruz, $5 Christie, $5 Trump
Gearan: $30 Rubio, $30 Bush, $20 Trump, $10 Carson, $10 Kasich

10/23/2015:

Krauthammer: $25 Rubio, $25 Trump, $15 Cruz, $10 Bush, $10 Carson, $10 field, $5 Fiorina
Carlson: $45 Trump, $30 Fiorina, $25 Rubio
Stoddard: $35 Trump, $20 Rubio, $15 Cruz, $10 Bush, $10 Fiorina, $10 Kasich

10/2/2015:

Krauthammer: $35 Rubio, $20 Bush, $15 Fiorina, $15 Trump, $10 field, $5 Cruz
Catanese: $40 Rubio, $30 Carson, $10 Trump, $10 Fiorina, $10 Bush
Attkisson: $40 Carson, $40 Trump, $15 Fiorina, $5 Bush

9/17/2015:

Barnes: $30 Rubio, $25 Bush, $15 Kasich, $10 Trump, $5 Cruz, $5 Fiorina, $5 Christie, $5 Walker
Kondracke: $40 Bush, $35 Kasich, $25 Rubio
Birnbaum: $10 Bush, $10 Rubio, $5 Christie, $5 Kasich, $5 Trump, $5 Fiorina, $60 field

8/14/2015:

Krauthammer: $25 Rubio, $20 Bush, $20 Walker, $10 Cruz, $10 Fiorina, $10 Kasich, $5 field
Riley: $30 Bush, $30 Walker, $30 Rubio, $5 Kasich, $5 Fiorina
Walter: $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $25 Rubio, $10 Kasich, $5 Cruz, $5 field

More than a month after Trump declared, they still didn’t see the tsunami that was coming:

7/24/2015:

Krauthammer: $25 Bush, $25 Rubio, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz, $5 Trump, $5 Kasich, $10 field
Fournier: $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $20 Rubio, $15 Kasich, $10 field
Riley: $35 Bush, $35 Rubio, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz

7/10/2015:

Krauthammer: $30 Rubio, $30 Walker, $30 Bush, $5 Kasich, $5 Cruz
Easton: $25 Walker, $25 Bush, $20 Rubio, $30 field
Catanese: $40 Walker, $30 Bush, $15 Paul, $15 Rubio

5/8/2015:

Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Bush, $20 Walker, $10 field
Hayes: $40 Rubio, $25 Walker, $20 Bush, $10 Cruz, $5 field
Williams: $35 Bush, $20 Rubio, $15 Walker, $10 Cruz, $10 Paul, $5 Cruz, $5 Huckabee

4/3/2015:

Krauthammer: $35 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 Cruz, $5 field
Will: $35 Walker, $30 Bush, $10 Paul, $5 Cruz, $20 field
Pace: $40 Bush, $25 Rubio, $20 Walker, $10 Cruz, $5 Paul

3/20/2015:

Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 field
Hayes: $35 Rubio, $30 Walker, $20 Bush, $10 Cruz, $5 field
Williams: $50 Bush, $25 Walker, $10 Rubio, $10 Paul, $5 Fiorina

1/30/2015:

Krauthammer: $40 Rubio, $30 Bush, $25 Walker, $5 Christie
Goldberg: $45 Walker, $25 Bush, $20 Rubio, $10 Cruz
Williams: $50 Bush, $20 Paul, $10 Rubio, $10 Walker, $5 Carson, $5 Christie

Now why should we think they know how the November election will resolve? Hint: I wouldn’t be too confident in any of their prognostications.

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