Poll Vaulting

Perhaps you saw this headline last night on Drudge: “Shock Poll: Roy Moore Tied in Alabama.”

The article said:
“Republican Roy Moore, the anti-Republican establishment candidate, is tied at 42 percent apiece with Democrat Doug Jones in the U.S. Senate race in deep-red Alabama.

“A Fox News Poll also finds that among just the 53 percent of Alabama registered voters who are extremely or very interested in the race, Jones has a one-point edge over Moore (46-45 percent).

“The special election to fill the U.S. Senate seat vacated by U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions is December 12.”

That seemed surprising and upsetting, too.

Drudge has a tendency to run these kind of stories. They certainly do grab attention. It would be shocking if a deep red state like Alabama fell to a Democrat. What would that mean for 2018 and 2020?

Then I thought about the recent congressional elections. Remember how the pajama boy Democrat in Georgia appeared to be thwapping Republican Karen Handel? There was gnashing of teeth on our side and giddy enjoyment on the Dems’ side.

And how did that turn out? Handel easily won. This same pattern happened in earlier races, not to mention the Nov. 8 presidential elections.

Gateway Pundit calls it fake news: “But then there’s this…
This same poll has President Trump up by only one point in their favorable-unfavorable rating.
What a crock of crap. FOX News needs better pollsters.”

They certainly have not merited paying any attention to them in the last two years. I think I’ll stick to facts, not speculation almost two months ahead of election day.

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