More on Dem Troubles

Bruce Walker at brings up some more reasons that Republicans should not let pessimism shape their feelings about future elections.

In “The Democrats’ Big Problem” Walker takes a look at the Senate.

In 2014, Democrats will again be defending a lot more vulnerable seats than Republicans. One Republican will face voters from a state Obama carried — Snowe, in Maine — but seven Democrats will face voters in states which Romney just carried — West Virginia, North Carolina, Louisiana, Arkansas, South Dakota, Montana, and Alaska.

In fact, every other Republican seat is in a state which Romney carried handily, while four other Democrat seats — in New Hampshire, Virginia, Iowa, and Colorado — came from states in which Romney ran close to Obama. That translates in 2014 into gains, and very likely gains which will translate into a Republican Senate majority. That very fact — because Senate Democrats can do the math — means that Harry Reid’s plan to make filibusters harder will almost certainly fail: in two years, and perhaps for years thereafter, Republicans may control the Senate.

He sees it likely that Republicans will keep the House in the next few elections at least, Walker found optimism, as I do, in state government.

Republicans now control more governorships than before the 2012 election, and these Republican governors are showing a lot of fight on issues like medical exchanges on ObamaCare, Right to Work, voter-identification laws, and tax reform. In a strong Republican 1914-style election, there will be more Republican governors, not fewer, after the midterm.

Even more troubling for Democrats, although it seems to have slipped under the radar screen of most punditry, Republicans came out of the 201 election actually controlling 57 of the 98 partisan state legislative chambers. Nebraska is unicameral and nonpartisan — but it is honestly Republican. The Virginia Senate is split, although with the Republican lieutenant governor, nominal control is with the Republicans. That means that Democrats control only 40 of the 99 state legislative chambers.

I hope in our own state of Tennessee Governor Haslam remembers how red we are and does not bend to the federal government. Looks like the tougher governors are, the most their electorate likes them, i.e. Scott Walker, John Kasich, Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie, at least pre Sandy. Many of us had doubts about Haslam in the primary. He wasn’t the most conservative of the candidates. Don’t let Obama rule Tennessee!

... Leave a Reply