Poll Vaulting

Perhaps you saw this headline last night on Drudge: “Shock Poll: Roy Moore Tied in Alabama.”

The article said:
“Republican Roy Moore, the anti-Republican establishment candidate, is tied at 42 percent apiece with Democrat Doug Jones in the U.S. Senate race in deep-red Alabama.

“A Fox News Poll also finds that among just the 53 percent of Alabama registered voters who are extremely or very interested in the race, Jones has a one-point edge over Moore (46-45 percent).

“The special election to fill the U.S. Senate seat vacated by U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions is December 12.”

That seemed surprising and upsetting, too.

Drudge has a tendency to run these kind of stories. They certainly do grab attention. It would be shocking if a deep red state like Alabama fell to a Democrat. What would that mean for 2018 and 2020?

Then I thought about the recent congressional elections. Remember how the pajama boy Democrat in Georgia appeared to be thwapping Republican Karen Handel? There was gnashing of teeth on our side and giddy enjoyment on the Dems’ side.

And how did that turn out? Handel easily won. This same pattern happened in earlier races, not to mention the Nov. 8 presidential elections.

Gateway Pundit calls it fake news: “But then there’s this…
This same poll has President Trump up by only one point in their favorable-unfavorable rating.
What a crock of crap. FOX News needs better pollsters.”

They certainly have not merited paying any attention to them in the last two years. I think I’ll stick to facts, not speculation almost two months ahead of election day.

Cochran Hobbles Back

One of the senators from Mississippi, Thad Cochran, has been ill. The 79-year-old’s most recent battle has been with a urinary tract infection. For that reason, he hasn’t been able to be in the Senate.

Yesterday he managed to get back for the tax reform debate/vote. However, according to reporter Matt Laslo, Cochran “arrived at the Capitol walking up steps with help of staff and they have a wheelchair waiting for him inside.”

Two days earlier his staff had put out a statement that he was unable to return. Cochran said, “I am pleased to be back in Washington where I look forward to continuing work on the 2018 appropriations bills and to taking part in the debate on the budget and tax cuts. I appreciate all the support and kind words I received while at home.”

As The Hill reported:

“Cochran’s absence had raised concern that Senate Republicans would struggle to advance their budget, a crucial step in the legislative strategy to pass tax reform.

“Without Cochran, the GOP’s narrow 52-vote majority in the Senate left little room for error.

“Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) said he would vote against the budget if defense spending levels were not reduced by $43 billion. With few other Republicans threatening to block the resolution, Cochran’s return to the Senate appears to assure the resolution’s passage.”

Perhaps you remember the 2014 election in which Tea Party favorite Chris McDaniel challenged the senator, but lost. Many people considered that the GOP had played fast and loose with McDaniels unfairly. Wikipedia summarizes:

During the primary election, Senator Cochran and State Senator McDaniel received 49% and 49.5% of the vote respectively. Since no candidate received over 50%, there was a runoff to determine the Republican nominee on June 24, 2014.

Cochran’s campaign invited Democrats to vote in the Republican primary and defeated McDaniel in the run-off election. In addition, Cochran-affiliated super PACs used racially charged themes in their primary ads, particularly the super PAC “All Citizens for Mississippi”, which was funded(according to these F.E.C. filings by a super PAC affiliated with Former Governor Haley Barbour.

Cochran is up for reelection in 2020 – if he gets there. If not, Governor Phil Bryant can appoint a successor to fill the balance of his term.

Cochran’s been in the Senate since 1978. Why would he cling to it so desperately?

Cheers to Me-Again Kelly

Older people among us will remember the hit show “Cheers.” It was popular on NBC’s must see TV Thursday night lineup. It made big stars of Ted Danson, Kirstie Alley, Kelsey Grammer, John Ratzenberger, Woody Harrelson and Rhea Perlman.

Shelley Long was with it from the beginning and was a hit, too.

Then Ms. Long decided she had a higher calling in the movies. She left the show to fans’ disappointment and went on to make a few movies.

She was not the box office smash she thought she was. In fact, her career nosedived and she slipped away into irrelevance.

The others who stuck with the show used it as a springboard for bigger careers.

You wonder if Megyn Kelly is the new Shelley Long.

She was a hit on Fox News Channel. They kept giving her more time on the air, a bigger show in prime time and a role in big news events.

Still, she thought she was better than a cable news outlet. So when NBC dangled $$ in front of her, she dashed.

Kelly didn’t realize she might not translate that well on an alphabet network. She plunged in her summer show and now her daily gig looks dicey.

They have reportedly sunk $70 million into her show and efforts to promote her, but the public has put her outside the zone of totality. She’s not in the path of their viewership; not aligned with what people want to see.

Now she’s stooped to appearing on MSNBC, on shows she used to beat in the ratings.
Page Six reveals:

A big get with Harvey Weinstein accuser Lauren Sivan wasn’t big enough to pull Megyn Kelly out of her ratings slump.

Her “Megyn Kelly Today” viewership slipped from 0.77 ratings points on Monday to 0.54 ratings points on Tuesday of last week.

“It’s a possible all-time low for ‘Today.’ It may even be lower than her [Fox] cable show. [NBC News president] Noah [Oppenheim] and [NBC News and MSNBC chairman] Andy [Lack] are in big trouble,” a source told us.

Another source added, “That’s a big drop. They have to turn this around.”

Kelly also appeared for the first time on MSNBC earlier this week.

“It’s unthinkable. You don’t see Matt [Lauer] or Savannah [Guthrie] on MSNBC … It’s not a good sign.”

Kelly’s lackluster ratings are also dragging down “Kathie Lee & Hoda,” Page Six reported after Kelly’s hour of “Today” was down 32 percent as compared to a year ago, while “Kathie Lee & Hoda” fell 26 percent, and insiders are blaming that on Kelly’s “weak lead-in.”

Once you flop big, you greatly reduce your chance of a comeback. Ask Shelley Long.

If you can find her.

Disney Going to the Dogs

I was doing the dishes this morning when Fox News came on with a report that Disneyworld would begin allowing dogs at four of their hotels.

Our dog was sitting nearby at the refrigerator.

“Did you hear that?” I asked. “You could go to Disneyworld with us now.”

He gave me a long look of disbelief followed by an angry stare.

“Oh, so now Iger has decided it’s all right for us to go to his beloved playground. How nice of him,” he said sarcastically. “Isn’t he running for president? For years they’ve portrayed us as Goofy and Pluto, the stupidest characters they have. Not even as smart as a mouse. Now this species-ist wants our money.

“I bet you he discriminates against big dogs, too. Tubbies over 50 pounds will have to pay an extra charge, right? Shedding fees? Carpet taxes? More discrimination! There’s always a slight.”

“You mean you wouldn’t want to go?” I asked. “You get a free dog bowl.”

He was incredulous. “For years we were kept out of his restaurants and his hotels. That is, except for a few who had to wear a special garment to indicate they were working for the man. Oh, and he was fine with using us for sniffing out bombs and risking our lives,” he continued. “But now, suddenly we’re not going to be discriminated against anymore. What species-ist garbage!”

He wasn’t through. “Let me guess. One of the hotels we get to go to is the one with the alligators on its doorstep. Sure. Use a dog as bait, huh? What, do they have a problem with rats at another one? Pretend to allow terriers in there to do his dirty work again? No thanks.”

I sheepishly admitted that one of the hotels was the one with the alligators.

“I knew it!” he said. “The next thing they’ll do is complain that a dog peed on a bed. Especially a conservative dog. Then you’re looking at a golden showers dossier all over again!”

I had to admit he had a point.

“Iger just wants the dog vote in 2020,” he continued. “Not this cur!”

I was just about to speak when he burst out. “And don’t call me a cur-mudgeon. I can tell you’re about to do it. What’s next at Disney? A Dog Lives Matter t-shirt? They should bury this idea like a bone in the backyard.”

“Calm down,” I said.
He didn’t look like he would any time soon.

“This is going to take a trip to Hollywood Feed’s bakery, isn’t it?” I asked.

“At the least,” he said. “And I want the big strawberry cake,” he said, making air quotes around cake with his paws. “The one that’s $20.”

“I’ll get my keys.”

Statue Stays

I am surprised that the Historical Commission blocked the removal of the statue of Forrest.

I shouldn’t be, I suppose.

There has been a big campaign launched by Mayor Strickland and the CA to get rid of it. They talk in terms of it as if the statue left the park and went on raids every night and no one could stop it. They talk as if it’s the biggest problem Memphis has.

The media and the mayor also act as if the community is completely with them. The tip off that we aren’t is the intensity of their campaign for one. When they have a handful or less of their adherents show up at the City Council meeting, that’s a sign. When you see very few people at the park protesting, that’s a sign. When you see the pop up crowd that protested at last night’s game, that’s also an indicator. I’m not impressed by a few people getting dramatic. For all we know, most of them were trucked in. Maybe they’re local antifa. There always seem to be a group of people ready at any moment to get all wee wee’d up (Obama’s term) anywhere, any time. These types would protest a dill pickle if they wanted to.

Before the news of the stay came down, I had looked at Mayor Strickland’s facebook page. He uses it as one big virtue signal for all he does. He writes: “I am thankful for the support of so many Memphians who made the six-hour trip to Athens today. As I told the commission, this is a Memphis as unified on this issue as we’ve ever seen.”

But if you look at the comments, it hardly seems that we are unified on this issue. Take a look here: https://www.facebook.com/mayormemphis/. Most of the comments are quite hostile to the mayor.

Most have gleaned that this issue is one he hopes to ride to reelection. He is misguided. He is listening too much to his own people and not to THE people.

If you doubt that there is negative feeling out there, take a look at the CA. It keeps pushing its liberal beliefs, as it’s circulation numbers spiral downward. How few subscribers can they get to before they fold up and blow away?

Hope we find out soon.

D’Souza Talks About Justice

Dinesh D’Souza ended his speech Tuesday night at the U of M with some concerns.

“The gentleman’s politics of the 80s is gone,” he commented. “It’s a worrisome moment in American politics,” he said referring to the deep divide in the country. “Don’t be suckers for the Big Lie. Speak up for yourself,” he advised the young people in the audience.

He then took questions from the audience. The first man asked for advice. He said “my sister is a puppet for the Left. How do I deal with her?”

D’Souza recognized that family conflicts like that are hard. “Young people are idealistic and that’s not a bad thing.” He then advised him not to be abrasive with her, but to have his facts straight and present them. “Try using the Socratic method. Ask her questions. Send her to google checking on your facts. You have missionary work to do,” he said.

Someone asked about the removal of Confederate statues. D’Souza said “at the time they were monuments to those we cherished. I worry about them taking out books they don’t like next,” he said.

A student then came to the microphone and identified herself as a Progressive. She accused the organizers of trying to exclude people from the event. Before the speech we had seen some students by the door and obviously there was some disagreement. The young black woman said she had been told the speech began at 7:30 so they weren’t there in time to get in. In the end, they were allowed in and she got to ask her question.

She challenged D’Souza on fascism. She didn’t believe the Dems were fascists, because they have no power now in the House, Senate and Executive offices. Frankly, her question didn’t make sense and she kept interrupting D’Souza before he could reply. He told her that politics swing back and forth in history, but she was not deterred and did not acknowledge that other parts of our culture are controlled by the left.

The most interesting question of the evening came from another student. He asked about the disproportionality of minorities in jail and asked what D’Souza thought about the justice system.

“My own jail time changed my views,” D’Souza said. He used to believe about 95% of people in jail were there from their own guilt. Now he doesn’t.

“Prosecutors have so much power. You can find a crime in an accordion book of laws. The moment you file a charge, the reputation is gone.” He went on to explain by using a hypothetical Memphis doctor.

“Someone might not like him, so they go to a prosecutor, find a crime he might have been involved in – say writing a prescription for a pain medicine. His reputation is gone. They make it so that if you plead guilty, you might get a year or two in prison, but if you claim you’re innocent, you are dragged through court and could end up with your life over and a 50 year sentence. So many in prison have done that and are not guilty.”

In his own case, he donated $20,000 to Senate candidate and friend Wendy Long. It was over the $10,000 limit, so he was charged. As far as he knows, he’s the only person ever to be penalized and charged over this crime.

“The FBI got involved, as did the IRS and the DOJ. They can send swat teams to your house (as they did to Paul Manafort). It’s a frightening reality. It’s a travesty. I don’t have trust in the system anymore.”

Another student asked him why the Left so hates the 2nd amendment, especially since it is a protection for the others. D’Souza agreed. “Since I’m a felon now, I can’t carry a gun. But my wife can and she does,” D’Souza said.

It was quite an interesting evening. Kudos to the young people at U of M – Republicans and conservatives who are on campus. This can’t have been easy to do and I imagine they caught some flak from it.

It needs to be done. I hope they continue to make their presence felt and appreciated.

D’Souza on Fascism, Football and Weinstein

Noting that the Left loves to talk about fascism, applying that term to both Trump and Republicans, Dinesh D’Souza ably tackled that issue in his speech Tuesday night.

“Fake fascism is another Big Lie progressives tell,” the author and filmmaker said. “Nationalism is not a defining part of fascism. Socialism is central to fascism,” he said. He gave Winston Churchill as an example. While Churchill was certainly standing up for his country, he was not a fascist, he explained. Nor was he a socialist.

As the early proponents of socialism explained, “the individual is like a cell in the organism of the state. As such, it has no value, no rights, but is only there to serve the state. I ask you, does that sound like the platform of Republicans or Democrats?

“The racism and fascism cards the left uses to stop debate and to start violence.” D’Souza pointed out that college campuses and Hollywood have fascist tendencies.

“Hollywood is an oligarchy,” D’Souza said. “It’s like the Corleone family. They have the power to destroy.” He pointed to disgraced Hollywood producer Harvey Weinstein and the way he has conducted business.

He blames universities for taking some of these issues off the campus debate and blowing them up on a national stage. “I forgive Colin Kaepernick,” he says of the football player who started taking a knee during the national anthem. “He’s just a guy who runs with a ball. He doesn’t know he’s the product of progressive universities.”

Next: Audience members asked D’Souza questions and he comes under attack.