Wave Bye Bye

So how did we do last night?

We didn’t hit 100 in the House and we didn’t take back the Senate. Disappointed?

There is no reason to be. It was a big wave, hurricane, tsunami, wipe-out, disaster for the Democrats.

Although we still don’t know the exact number of seats we won because they are still counting ballots in some places, we have at least 63, which far outshines the 1994 victory. And we are still talking about what a massive win that was.

Not to go all “best of all possible worlds” Candide on you, but consider this comment from Democrat Pat Caddell. He believes it is the worst possible outcome for the Democrats. I concur. Now the Democrats will still own responsibility for their actions (or inactions) with Barack Obama in the executive branch and the Senate with Harry Reid at its helm. From how I see it, that means Republicans in the House can propose big and popular ideas that Obama and the lefty senators will not want to embrace. That sets us up for a promising 2012.

For new Speaker of the house John Boehner, he’ll also have a larger majority in the House than Republicans had in the previous 12 years they were in power. The Blue Dog Caucus was cut in half. I only wish more of the quislings had fallen, but I’m happy to see Travis Childers and Gene Taylor of Mississippi fall. A great number of others who supported the Health Care reform lost as well.

In the Senate we defended every seat up for election. That is not a small accomplishment, plus adding 6-7 new ones. Looking ahead to 2012, Republicans will only have to defend 10 Senate seats (with one problematic) while the Democrats must keep 22 (10 problematic).

We got a 55-39 advantage with independent voters. We won more than 23 legislatures. Democrats lost their majority in governorships. All this bodes well for census redistricting for the GOP, with effects that we’ll enjoy for a long period of time.

California was a big disappointment. But those citizens have now signed their own economic death sentence. I don’t think the rest of the country wants to pony up for the union-heavy, benefit laden civil servants (think Bell, Ca.), pension problems and education and medical care for illegal immigrants. With Jerry Brown and Barbara Boxer they can now twist in the wind. Had Meg Whitman won, she would hardly have been able to pull the state out of the deep hole it’s in within 4 years. Let’s leave it to Jerry Brown to suffer through that one.

By the way, Californians actually voted a dead person into office. Jenny Oropeza will not be able to serve and they will have to have another election to get her off the ballot. Talk about Zombie Democrat voters! Hard for common sense Republicans to make headway in that kind of climate.

Other big wins for our side: Maine’s legislature went deep red, a shift they have not seen there in 100 years. North Carolina’s legislature went GOP for the first time since 1876. Wisconsin, and New Hampshire flipped to the GOP by a wide margin. Indiana, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Iowa, Montana and Colorado saw their state houses go Republican.

Minnesota Republicans took the House and Senate which had not happened since 1974. Also in Minnesota Chip Cravaack took the seat from Democrat stalwart Jim Oberstar in a district we hadn’t had since 1946.
Already red Texas went so red that the GOP no longer needs Democrats to get state constitutional amendments out of the state legislature.

Some well deserved comeuppances sweetened the wins, too.

Armed Services committee chairman Ike Skelton, a long time Democrat from Missouri, lost his seat. Bob Etheridge, the North Carolina Democrat who assaulted a student interviewing him, went down. Alan Grayson of Florida who reccommended Republicans’ health care ideas boiled down to “die quickly” lost his race.Tom Perriello of Virginia who Obama campaigned hard for, lost. So did Paul Kanjorski, and Baron Hill.

Republican Ben Quayle easing won a seat from his district in Arizona. Remember his ad clling Obama the “worst president in U.S. history?” Doctor Dan Benishek took Bart Stupak’s Michigan seat.

Good as all this is, we also have a large number of rising candidates on the horizon. Marco Rubio, new senator from Florida; Kristi Noem, now a congresswoman from South Dakota; John Kasich, new governor of Ohio; join other heavyweights such as Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, Sarah Palin, New Jersey governor Chris Christie, Indiana congressman Mike Pence as great future leaders. I don’t see any such bull pen ready for the Democrats, heavy with Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer, Joe Biden and Barney Frank.

I think that car President Obama is driving might have to have a new look. We can “come for the ride” but now we certainly aren’t going to have to “sit in the back.”

What to Watch Election Night

Will tomorrow’s election be a wave, a hurricane or a tsunami? A few key races will let us know early in the night.

Here are a list of interesting races that you’ll want to watch and when the results should come in.

The first polls close in Kentucky and Indiana at 5 p.m. Central time. In the Senate race, that means Rand Paul. Can anything have been dumber than the Aqua Buddha argument of Jack Conway? In the House race for Indiana, see if Baron Hill goes down to defeat. His is one of the races where the Democrats helped a libertarian become a candidate in hopes of torpedoing the Republican’s chances. Hill is also one of the few who voted for cap and trade.

Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia and Mississippi close at 6 p.m. We will see if Marco Rubio has been successful in his two year Senate campaign. Also in Florida, Alan Grayson, famous for telling us that Republican health care is that they want “you to die quickly.” In Virginia, Tom Perriello is working hard to keep his seat and is one of the candidates who welcomed Obama at his rally. Another is Jim Moran, a longtime Democrat congressman who’s been a thorn in the side of Republicans. He’s a big lib and after the Virginia Tech Massacre blamed the NRA and George W. Bush. He’s also held a strong anti-war view. Rick Boucher is another Virginian who will have to get over his cap and trade vote in a district that produces coal. In Mississippi, Democrat Gene Taylor is in danger of losing his seat and Travis Childers is being challenged by Alan Nunelee in Desoto County.

At 6:30 polls close in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. All eyes will be on the Raese/Manchin senate race in West Virginia. Whichever one wins this will be immediately seated in the Senate and will vote in the lame duck session due to the death of Robert Byrd. In Ohio, the governor’s race pits incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland against GOP favorite John Kasich. Left of left congressman Dennis Kucinich is another Ohio incumbent who would be sweet to see lose his office.

At 7, 19 states, including our own and Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Michigan, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts and Missouri close their voting.

Paul Kanjorski in Pennsylvania is one of the Democrats who refused to hold townhall meetings concerning the health care reform. “I don’t want nuts to hit me with a camera,” he said. In the Senate race, we’ll want to see if Pat Toomey can defeat Joe Sestak.

Michigan races include John Dingell, whose family has held that seat since the 1930s; Gary Peters running against Republican Rocky Raczkowski; and the up for grabs Bart Stupak seat that Republican Dan Benishek hopes to capture.

The senate races in Connecticut, Illinois, Delaware and Missouri will give us a good indicator of who will hold the Senate. Linda McMahon, Mark Kirk, Christine O’Donnell and Roy Blunt are the Republican hopefuls.
In Illinois, there are some other interesting house races. Phil “I don’t care about the Constitution” Hare; Melissa Bean, whose opponent Joe Walsh objected to the League of Women Voters’ refusal to say the pledge of allegiance; and Jan Schakowsky whose radical husband helped write the health care reform bill from prison face tough races.

There have been whispers that House Majority leader Steny Hoyer of Maryland could be in trouble. Also tight polling between Republican Sean Bielat and powerful Congressman Barney “Fannie & Freddie” Frank whose district went for Republican Scott Brown in January. Check to see if Patrick Deval, the prototype for the Obama 08 campaign, can keep his governorship in a state that gave the Kennedy Senate seat to Scott Brown.

Arkansas polls close at 7:30, although it looks like Blanche Lincoln will go down in defeat.
At 8, New York, Colorado, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Louisiana, Kansas, Minnesota and Rhode Island close.
In Minnesota, Michelle Bachmann, who Nancy Pelosi targeted as the Republican she’d most like to defeat, should cruise to easy victory. Let’s hope radical congresswoman Betty McCollum, who declared that Al Qaeda is no longer a threat, goes down to defeat. Joseph Cao, the New Orleans Republican who voted for the health care reform the first time, may lose his spot.

In New York, aside from their gubernatorial race which looks like Cuomo will win, also has Sean Hannity friend John Gomez challenging Steve Israel and Democrat Maurice Hinchey, who assaulted a reporter who tried to ask him questions, trying to keep his seat. Rhode Island’s House seat held by Patrick Kennedy is seeing a dust up between David Cicilline and Republican John Loughlin who is doing well.

At 9 p.m. Iowa, Nevada, Arizona, North Dakota and Utah polling places close.

With Nevada, aside from the Reid-Angle fight, look to see how Democrat Dina Titus does against Joe Hech; that district contains one third of Nevada voters. Earl Pomeroy is one Karl Rove has said he will be watching; in a conservative state that Democrat voted for health care reform. Open borders advocate Raul Grijalva in Arizona could tumble as well.

California, Oregon and Washington close at 10 p.m. Washington, however, votes by mail so the race between Dino Rossi and incumbent Democrat Patty Murray could play out for weeks. “Baghdad Jim” McDermott, a thorn in the side of conservatives because of his trip to Iraq where he blasted Bush, does not face an opponent. Big lib Loretta Sanchez could fall to GOP candidate Van Tran, aside from the Senate and Governor races.
Alaska and Hawaii close after 11 p.m. so we may we waiting to see what happens there. In Hawaii, Charles Djou, who won a seat in a special election this spring, will try to keep his seat against his Democrat challenger.

The media has ignored some of our black Republican candidates, but here they are:

Charlotte Bergmann, of course, looking to take the 9th district from Steve Cohen.

Another black woman, Star Parker, is running in California. Look to see Tim Scott probably win in South Carolina. Ryan Frazier is running in Colorado, Robert Broadus in Maryland, Michael Faulkner in New York, Marvin Scott in Indiana, Charles Lollar in Maryland, Bill Randall in North Carolina, Bill Marcy in Mississippi, Alan West in Florida, Stephen Broden in Texas, Chuck Smith in Virginia and Isaac Hayes in Illinois.

Should be an interesting night.

Corker in Memphis Thursday

Senator Bob Corker will be holding six town hall meetings across Tennessee after the election.

He’ll be in Memphis Thursday, Nov. 4, at 5:30 at Memphis City Hall on Main. Corker will have what is described as “a sobering slide presentation on Washington’s spending trends and mounting debt levels.” You can preview it at http://corker.senate.gov/public/?p=america-s-debt-crisis. It will be a great opportunity to question him on the direction the Republican party will take in January.

His Memphis liaison, Nick Kistenmacher, urges people to come and to get there early because of security precautions.

Swan song for the Democrats?

Will Tuesday’s election be a Black Swan event asks a provocative article in the American Thinker. The author, Peter Landesman, believes it will.

The term, taken from a book by Nassim Nicholas Teleb, refers to something that occurs and fits the following criteria: it comes as a surprise to observers; it has a major impact on its surroundings; and it is rationalized after the fact as if it was expected. Under this definition 9/11, World War I, the financial meltdown and the internet coming about all qualify.

Landesman holds that the midterm election could very well be such an event. He notes that Rush Limbaugh sees a tsunami building. Dick Morris suggests Republicans could gain 100 seats. For Landesman, 150 are possible.

How can this be, you may ask?

His contention is that “prognosticators do not fully grasp the significance of certain variables.Typically, the experts posit a normal distribution (bell curve) of probabilities based on the often assumed principle that a small variation of parameters results in a small change of what is observed. This assumption is not always valid. Sometimes minute changes in initial conditions produce catastrophic alterations.”

In particular, Landesman cites the relatively new art of polling. Gallup, he says, only started in the 1930s. Some big wins, like the 1894 Republican landslide, are off his radar. And, pollsters have zeroed in on finding the best sample of voters instead of analyzing results.

Five conditions could affect voters’ attitudes right into the polling booth, he believes. “First, the government lacks financial discipline. Second, Hope and Change have become despair and the status quo. 3. the promises of open government have succumbed to backroom deals and arm twisting. 4. the president’s attempt to heal our country has not been successful. Last, Democratic legislators have seemed to exempt themselves from the consequences of Obamacare.”

Who knows? He may be right. As the campaigns draw to an end, there is less and less consensus on polling. The variations are confusing; one candidate up 4 points on one, down 2 on another. It seems to get crazy towards the end.

And, who says voters are honest when polled? Many have told me they purposefully lie to thrown pollsters off. Today’s climate is such that many don’t want to advertise their personal beliefs.

“A woodshed moment of epic proportions for the Dems? A mass extinction event? a parting of the Red Sea, biblical proportion event, or a mega-flushing” are comments flung around now.

Let’s hope they are all right and we ride a black swan to victory.

Tea Party at NAACP

Mark Skoda“I am pleased with the way things turned out,” said Mark Skoda, Memphis Tea Party chairman, outside the NAACP on Vance yesterday.

He and 25 others gathered to protest the Commercial Appeal columnist Wendi Thomas’ hit piece on Charlotte Bergmann Sunday, in which Thomas told Bergmann go to “the porch.”

Tea Party at NAACP Memphis

Although the Memphis NAACP chapter declined to come out and talk with the Tea Partiers, officials met with Skoda and Mid South Tea Party chair Mark Herr. “Our purpose is not to embarrass the NAACP, but to request that they understand that we reject epithets of any kind,” Skoda said. “Our goal is to reach out to the NAACP and have them understand that we want to build on our common ground. But we’re not going to stand for false accusations.”

Protestors, who did not carry any signs, were respectful. Ms. Bergmann herself declined to attend, but appreciated the efforts. A march to the Commercial Appeal had been planned, but organizers backed down after Skoda talked to editor Chris Peck and opinion editor Otis Sanford.

“We got what we wanted,” Skoda said. “Number 1, we got the CA to respond. No. 2 we got an OK to write an op-ed that will appear before Monday in which we will rebut what Thomas wrote.”
In particular, organizers want a retraction of Thomas’ assertion that Bergmann wants to repeal the 14th and 19th amendments. Skoda called that assertion ridiculous.

Dems Gone Wild

Every election season has its jackassery, but this November’s kicks it up a notch.

Thankfully that activity is on the part of the donkey party this year. The GOP has been circumspect, save for Carl Palladino, but even then his reaction to his child’s privacy is at least understandable.

But the Democrats? Fear and loathing has driven them to froth at the mouth.

Leading them is the president himself who can’t seem to do anything but step in it whenever he gets before a microphone. Many of his mistakes seem driven by his car metaphor for the state of the economy.

For months Obama’s been talking about how the Republicans drove the car into the ditch and how he and the Democrats have struggled to get it out of there. Every time he speaks he elaborates. First, it was them getting into the ditch, getting hot, working hard and getting it out. Then, he couldn’t leave that alone and said the Republicans were sitting on the sidelines sipping a Slurpee. He amused himself so much with this image that his next punchline was that he didn’t want to give the keys back. At other speeches the car was placed on a cliff, hurtling, twisting and flipping all the way to the rocky bottom. Al Sharpton, who also loves a good story, added an alligator attack. Evidently even nature was conspiring against the heroic Democrats.

The next turn in the story came the other day. Obama graciously told his audience “We don’t mind the Republicans joining us, but they gotta sit in the back.” In today’s racially charged atmosphere, you have to finish that phrase with “of the bus.” Obama knows that. He couldn’t resist adding a little class and race warfare. Stupid and inflammatory.

Next, he goes on Latino radio and asks for votes to “punish our enemies and reward our friends.” Since when are Americans at war with each other? Does our president really want that? We’ve already had a Civil War and it didn’t work out too well.

Other candidates’ campaigns have the same smell of desperation. The Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Florida, Alex Sink, seemed to cheat during her debate when she got info on a phone call. In Kentucky, the Democrats launched a Moveon.org activist to stalk and lunge at Rand Paul before his debate. Someone tackled her, but she seemed to know what she was doing. She’s done similar things before and earned felony charges in May in Lousiana at a protest.

Then Russ Carnahan, Democrat in Missouri, appears to have used a seance group as a front to funnel money to lefty investigators to dig up dirt on his opponent, Ed Martin.

In Nevada, voters find their electronic ballots already punched for Harry Reid. Allegations that he is giving people free food and gift cards to vote for him are surfacing, too. Similar hijinks are happening in North Carolina.

Have you ever seen the Democrats so out of control?

Even “civilians” are piling it on. Joy Behar can’t restrain herself on “The View.” She yelled “Come here, bitch,” to Sharon Angle. “You’re going to hell!” Why not actually mud wrestle Angle, Joy? At least that would be more honest and more dignified than your outbursts.

I skip over the assaults on the Tea Party. They’ve been going on all year. We’re used to every invective being hurled at them by now.

How much more can they squeeze in in the last few days of the campaign? Don’t underestimate them. We’ll have to put up with it just a little longer.

Then the GOP tow truck can come and get the car out of the mud, although the Democrats seem to love and wallow in it.

Two Bergmann Events Today

Senator Bob Corker will be at Bergmann headquarters today in support of Charlotte. You can join him at 12:45 for free pizza and drinks at 925 S. Yates. He is here to help her and voice approval for her stance on cap and trade – she’s against it.

Park in the rear of Samuel’s store and come in the back door of the headquarters.

This afternoon the Memphis Tea Party and the Mid South Tea Party are holding a press conference at the NAACP headquarters. They are calling for an apology from the Commercial Appeal for the slurs in Wendi Thomas’ Sunday column against Charlotte Bergmann. Meet at 4 today at the NAACP at 588 Vance. Then, protesters will march to The Commercial Appeal on Union and call for Thomas to be fired.

Shut the Door and Shut Up; It’s Over

Allegations of fraud and cheating in the August 5 election made the front page of the newspaper, but when the Election Commission is vindicated, as it was today, it’s in Section B.

Truth is, there never was a story there. There wasn’t any vote fraud. Those of us who worked at the polls on that day can say from experience that there were enough safety checks to ensure that everyone’s vote counted. I was a judge at my precinct when fellow Midtowner Dist. Atty. Gen. Bill Gibbons walked in and was flagged as someone who had already voted. We laughed because he is an honorable man and because he’s a Republican and certainly wouldn’t be excluded had there been some plot by Republicans to shut other Republicans out.

With the list of absentee voters posted on the wall, when someone’s name came up as having voted and wasn’t on that list, it was obvious that some glitch had occurred. People could fill out a provisional ballot as a backup. Shortly after lunch the Election Commission verified that there was a problem, but to make sure everyone got to vote. Case closed.

Of course, the Democrats – after they lost – didn’t want to see it that way. Even after Judge Arnold Goldin agreed that there were mistakes in the election, but that there wasn’t any fraud, the Democrats still didn’t believe it.

Now the Tennessee Bureau of Investigation has revealed the results of their inquiry. “If one’s goal were to skew an election in a particular direction, it would be a poor plan indeed to randomly affect the votes of approximately 3 percent of the expected turnout,” read their report.

Evidently the Democrats are still unconvinced. They are considering an appeal to Judge Goldin’s decision.
That alone should persuade any independent that the Democrats aren’t interested in the truth, but only power.

Thanks for showing them the light, Dems!

John Fund Here Thursday

John FundIn two days you have a chance to hear from one of the Wall Street Journal’s best, John Fund.

He will be in Memphis Thursday, October 28, at Wade Auditorium at the University of Memphis Law School. The topic is “A Visitor’s Guide to an Alien Planet: Washington, D.C.” His appearance is sponsored by Memphis Lawyers Chapter. The event starts 1t 11:45 and it is free and open to the public. Wade Auditorium is on the first floor of the downtown campus at 1 North Front.